How many twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) of cargo will move by rail between China and Europe in the second half of 2024, according to the Eurasian Rail Alliance Index?

As attacks against shipping off the coast of Yemen continue, there has been an increase in rail traffic between Europe and China via Russia despite Russia's ongoing war with Ukraine (Financial Times, Al Mayadeen, Trans.info, New Silkroad Discovery). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2024 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the Eurasian Rail Alliance Index for July 2024 through December 2024 once data for December 2024 are first available (Eurasian Rail Alliance Index). On the page, set "DIRECTION" to "All," "SECTION" to "Cargo," leave "DEPARTURE," "ARRIVAL," and "GOODS" set to "All," and change "PERIOD" to "Reporting period" for "Jul 2024" to "Dec 2024." In January 2024, 20,810 TEUs were moved. An xlsx file with monthly data going back to 2021 may be downloaded by clicking this link: (Europe-China Rail Data ERAI 13 August 2024.xlsx). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.