Negotiations between Hamas and Israel continue for, among other things, the release of hostages taken in the early October 2023 attack on the country by Hamas and other groups (France 24, AP). As of 20 August 2024, Israel stated that 109 hostages were still being held, though many were believed dead (NPR). Israel announcing that a hostage or hostages are presumed dead would count as to those particular hostages, and whether an Israeli citizen holds dual citizenship is immaterial. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.