What will happen next regarding New York City Mayor Eric Adams?

Good Judgment Open
★★★☆☆
34%
None of these will occur before 28 April 2025
None of these will occur before 28 April 2025
Adams will publicly either resign as mayor or publicly announce that he will resign as mayor
Adams will publicly announce that he will not seek reelection as mayor in 2025
Adams will be either suspended or removed as mayor by the governor of New York

Question description

New York City Mayor Eric Adams has already begun fundraising for reelection in 2025, though federal investigations have cast a shadow over his campaign (City & State NY, Politico, AP, NBC News). The governor of New York State has authority to remove or suspend the mayor of New York City (Spectrum NY1, NYC Charter - Chapter 1, §9). If Adams announces both that he will not seek reelection as mayor and has resigned or will resign in the same statement, the question will close "Adams will either resign as mayor or publicly announce that he will resign as mayor." Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformGood Judgment Open
Number of forecasts78
Forecasters24

Capture

Resizable preview:
34%
None of these will occur before 28 April 2025
24%
Adams will publicly either resign as mayor or publicly announce that he will resign as mayor
22%
Adams will publicly announce that he will not seek reelection as mayor in 2025
20%
Adams will be either suspended or removed as mayor by the governor of New York
Last updated: 2024-10-15
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 78
Forecasters: 24

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