The Bangladeshi interim government reportedly seeks fundamental changes to the country's political system in the wake of former Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina's ouster in August 2025, though the path to be taken is yet to be determined (PBS, Dhaka Tribune, Straits Times, Voice of America, France 24). Elections for members of a national government in a transitional or permanent parliamentary body or a constituent assembly tasked with drafting and/or approving a new constitution will count, as will a referendum for constitutional changes on which Bangladeshi citizens nationwide will vote (Jago News 24). An actual date or dates for the elections or referendum must be announced, as opposed to broader chronological phrasing (e.g., "by 2026," "in the summer of 2026," "August 2026"). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.