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How many workers in the US will be involved in any work stoppages in 2025, according to the Labor Action Tracker (LAT)?

Good Judgment Open
★★★☆☆
32%
At least 480,000, but fewer than 620,000
At least 480,000, but fewer than 620,000
At least 340,000, but fewer than 480,000
At least 200,000, but fewer than 340,000
Fewer than 200,000
At least 620,000, but fewer than 760,000

Question description #

Union strikes in the US have been on the rise in recent years (CNN, ABC News). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2025 and the outcome determined using annual report data as first published by the LAT for 2025, expected in the first quarter of 2026 (LAT). For 2023, LAT reported 470 total work stoppages in 2023 involving 539,000 workers, up from 424 work stoppages in 2022 involving 224,000 workers (LAT - Annual Report 2023, LAT - Annual Report 2022). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformGood Judgment Open
Number of forecasts26
Forecasters16

Capture #

Resizable preview:
How many workers in the US will be involved in any work stoppages in 2025, according to the Labor Action Tracker (LAT)?
32%
At least 480,000, but fewer than 620,000
22%
At least 340,000, but fewer than 480,000
18%
At least 200,000, but fewer than 340,000
14%
Fewer than 200,000
10%
At least 620,000, but fewer than 760,000
Last updated: 2025-01-24
Last updated: 2025-01-24
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 26
Forecasters: 16

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