Various political and economic factors have observers speculating over the future of US dollar dominance in global finance (IMF, US News & World Report, Council on Foreign Relations). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2026 and the outcome determined using "World Currency Composition of Official Foreign Exchange Reserves" data for the fourth quarter of 2026 as reported by the IMF when data for the fourth quarter of 2026 are first released, expected in early 2027 (IMF). As of the launch of this question, the IMF reported that 58.42% of allocated reserve were in US dollars in the fourth quarter of 2023. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.