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Will Tulsi Gabbard be sworn in as the US Director of National Intelligence (DNI) before 1 April 2025?

Good Judgment Open
★★★☆☆
57%
Yes, after having been confirmed by the US Senate
Yes, after having been confirmed by the US Senate
No
Yes, after a recess appointment by the president

Question description #

President-elect Donald Trump has named former Representative Tulsi Gabbard as his pick to be the next DNI, though some Democrats have claimed that she is a "national security threat" (AP, The Hill, Newsweek). Trump has called for the Senate to allow him to make recess appointments, which has historically been a point of friction between the White House and Senate in recent history (Newsweek, Congressional Research Service). If Trump's transition team or administration publicly announces that Trump is no longer seeking Gabbard's appointment as DNI or Gabbard publicly announces that she is no longer seeking the job, the question will close early as "No." Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformGood Judgment Open
Number of forecasts177
Forecasters49

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Tulsi Gabbard be sworn in as the US Director of National Intelligence (DNI) before 1 April 2025?
57%
Yes, after having been confirmed by the US Senate
39%
No
3%
Yes, after a recess appointment by the president
Last updated: 2025-01-24
Last updated: 2025-01-24
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 177
Forecasters: 49

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