The US unemployment rate has remained relatively low in 2024 (Yahoo [Reuters], ABC News). The question will be suspended on 31 March 2025 and the outcome determined using the Bureau of Labor Statistics' (BLS's) official civilian unemployment rate (U3) as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database when first released, expected in early April 2025 (FRED). As of the launch of this question, the unemployment rate for March 2024 was 3.8%. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.