Anti-government forces in Syria overran Assad regime forces in the city of Aleppo in late November 2024, representing the greatest challenge to Assad's rule in several years (USA Today, CBS News, BBC, Euronews). The question will be suspended on 28 February 2025 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED) Explorer (ACLED). On the left side of the screen, (1) select "Fatality Counts," (2) select "All Event Types," (3) select "Custom Date Range" and set the date range as appropriate, (4) select nothing, (5) select only "Syria," (6) select "No," (7) select "Country," (8) select "No," (9) select "No," (10) select "Yes" and choose "Month," and click "Run Calculations." As of the launch of this question, ACLED reported 1,598 total fatalities in Syria between 1 December 2023 and 29 February 2024. Data will be accessed for resolution no sooner than 14 March 2025 unless ACLED reports fatalities in excess of 21,500 before 1 March 2025. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.