We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
S&P Indices versus Active (SPIVA) scorecards are reports published by S&P Global that track the relative performance of actively managed funds as compared to S&P indices (S&P Global, Investopedia - Active Management). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2025 and the outcome determined using the S&P Dow Jones Indices' SPIVA Global Scorecard, expected late in the third quarter of 2025. For the first half of 2024, 76.56% of all domestic US equity funds underperformed the S&P Composite 1500 index (SPIVA Global Scorecard Mid-Year 2024, see "All Domestic Funds" under "U.S. Equities" on page 19). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
| Platform | Good Judgment Open |
| Number of forecasts | 30 |
| Forecasters | 23 |