MetaforecastStatus
SearchToolsAbout

‌

‌
‌
‌
‌
‌
‌

Will there be at least 5 living ex-POTUSes at any point before 2045?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
71%
Likely
Yes

Question description #

ex-POTUS - An individual who has completed their tenure as POTUS and is no longer serving in office.

Currently that would be Trump, Clinton, Obama and Bush, but on Jan 21 2025 that would only be Biden, Clinton, Obama and Bush

Rresolves YES if, at any point before January 1, 2045, there are at least 5 living ex-presidents or NO otherwise.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters14
VolumeM904

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will there be at least 5 living ex-POTUSes at any point before 2045?
71%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-03-08

ex-POTUS - An individual who has completed their tenure as POTUS and is no longer serving in office.

Currently that would be Trump, Clinton, Obama and Bush, but on Jan 21 2025 that would only be Biden, Clinton, Obama and Bush

Rresolves YES if, at...

Last updated: 2025-03-08
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 14
Volume: M904

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-0QIE0yqLpn" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

Preview