MetaforecastStatus
SearchToolsAbout

‌

‌
‌
‌
‌
‌
‌

Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2029?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
6%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Resolves YES if Donald Trump spends any positive amount of time in prison while serving a sentence before the end of 2029. It doesn't count if he is held while awaiting trial or sentencing. House arrest also doesn't count, it must be an official prison. However, it DOES count if he is held in prison awaiting execution or similar.

Resolves NO otherwise

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters38
VolumeM4.2k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2029?
6%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2025-04-20

Resolves YES if Donald Trump spends any positive amount of time in prison while serving a sentence before the end of 2029. It doesn't count if he is held while awaiting trial or sentencing. House arrest also doesn't count, it must be an official...

Last updated: 2025-04-20
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 38
Volume: M4.2k

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-0lEZb6wbL78Z5vcs0wSf" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

Preview