The market resolves to YES if a formal peace agreement or armistice between the two is signed before the end of 2025. The war will not be considered to have ended in the case of a temporary ceasefire (inspired by Nicola Wilson's market).
Related market:
(https://manifold.markets/embed/njmkw/will-the-russiaukraine-war-end-duri-db83852c87a9)Update 2025-05-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification from the creator:
Only a formally ratified peace treaty will count for a YES resolution.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 514 |
| Volume | M343k |
The market resolves to YES if a formal peace agreement or armistice between the two is signed before the end of 2025. The war will not be considered to have ended in the case of a temporary ceasefire (inspired by Nicola Wilson's market).
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