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Will the United States no longer be a Democracy in the next ten years?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
27%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

As defined by Freedom House rating the US as "not free" at any point between now and 2033. 39% of Americans believe this will happen.

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Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters23
VolumeM1.9k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will the United States no longer be a Democracy in the next ten years?
27%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-05

As defined by Freedom House rating the US as "not free" at any point between now and 2033. 39% of Americans believe this will happen.

[tweet]

Last updated: 2025-05-05
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 23
Volume: M1.9k

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-1UmgDe5LuapV0WxO7Z6h" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

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