Copy of the linked market but with 10x the scale (1% of Americans rather than 0.1%)
Also this market has a clarification: this CAN close early if the criteria is met earlier.
Otherwise we will use the same data sources as the linked market.
(https://manifold.markets/embed/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-at-least-350000-11000)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 17 |
| Volume | M1.7k |
Copy of the linked market but with 10x the scale (1% of Americans rather than 0.1%)
Also this market has a clarification: this CAN close early if the criteria is met earlier.
Otherwise we will use the same data sources as the linked market..