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As the war continues, will Russia begin drafting women into its military?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
6%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Currently, it's estimated that <5% of Russia's military is female, down from a high of around 10%. However, men between 18 and 27 already face general conscription. With an evident shortfall in military manpower (see: reliance on mercenaries, expansion of recruitment to foreigners and convicts, etc.), will Russia's invasion of Ukraine cause enough instability that requires including women into a draft or the routine conscription?

History and Current Status of Women in the Russian Military

Resolves YES if Russia institutes any compulsory military service as a rule on any population of female citizens before the end of the war in Ukraine.

Otherwise NO when the war ends.

If the war extends beyond Ukraine and is no longer considered the Ukraine-Russia war, but the continuity is clear, it still counts.

The close date on this market may be extended as needed.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters41
VolumeM4.6k

Capture #

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As the war continues, will Russia begin drafting women into its military?
6%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-25

Currently, it's estimated that <5% of Russia's military is female, down from a high of around 10%. However, men between 18 and 27 already face general conscription. With an evident shortfall in military manpower (see: reliance on mercenaries,...

Last updated: 2025-05-25
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 41
Volume: M4.6k

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