This is a market that is attempting to evaluate the probability of AI wiping out humanity by 2030 conditional on artificial superintelligence existing.
If artificial superintelligence does not exist by 2030, this market will resolve to N/A.
This market resolves N/A on Jan 1st, 2027 as do the linked markets.
Inspired by https://twitter.com/ESYudkowsky/status/1686140175993487364
Related markets: https://manifold.markets/EliezerYudkowsky/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-by-2030-r?r=RWxpZXplcll1ZGtvd3NreQ https://manifold.markets/EliezerYudkowsky/will-artificial-superintelligence-e
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| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 54 |
| Volume | M2.9k |
This is a market that is attempting to evaluate the probability of AI wiping out humanity by 2030 conditional on artificial superintelligence existing.
If artificial superintelligence does not exist by 2030, this market will resolve to N/A.
This...