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Will we replace the calendar by end of 2040?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
11%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Resolves YES if Gregorian calendar (mostly concerning years counting) is no more in use before the day that is currently said to be 01.01.2041.

Resolves NO otherwise.

Update 2025-06-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES if a new calendar system becomes the:

Primary date format for communication, especially international.

First choice for general date referencing.

It is not required for the Gregorian calendar to be completely abandoned by all individuals or nations for a YES resolution.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters17
VolumeM549

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will we replace the calendar by end of 2040?
11%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-07

Resolves YES if Gregorian calendar (mostly concerning years counting) is no more in use before the day that is currently said to be 01.01.2041.

Resolves NO otherwise.

Update 2025-06-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve...

Last updated: 2025-06-07
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 17
Volume: M549

Embed #

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