This market will resolve based on national polling data from either Gallup or Pew Research showing whether more than 70% of respondents believe Donald Trump is too old to serve as president.
Resolution Criteria: Market resolves YES if any national poll from Gallup or Pew Research shows >70% of respondents believe Trump is too old to be president by the end of 2025. Also resolves yes if he dies before end of market.
Otherwise resolves NO.
References:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Draft:Age_and_health_concerns_about_Donald_Trump
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 21 |
| Volume | M1.3k |
This market will resolve based on national polling data from either Gallup or Pew Research showing whether more than 70% of respondents believe Donald Trump is too old to serve as president.
Resolution Criteria: Market resolves YES if any national...