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Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
18%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Average global land & ocean surface temperature, measured by NOAA

[image]Update 2025-04-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Official Resolution Source: The market will resolve based on NOAA's official numbers.

Fallback Option: If NOAA is disbanded or unable to provide its data, the resolution will be based on data from another credible agency or the global scientific consensus.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters90
VolumeM23k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
18%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-18

Average global land & ocean surface temperature, measured by NOAA

[image]Update 2025-04-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Official Resolution Source: The market will resolve based on NOAA's official numbers.

Fallback Option: If NOAA is...

Last updated: 2025-06-18
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 90
Volume: M23k

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-2F1o5Mp0my4kWQ02aA4N" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

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