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Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2026?

Manifold Markets

★★☆☆☆

11%

Unlikely

Yes

Question description #

English Wikipedia, mainspace.

Indicators #

Indicator	Value
Stars	★★☆☆☆
Platform	Manifold Markets
Forecasters	96
Volume	M12k

Capture #

Resizable preview:

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2026?

11%

Unlikely

Last updated: 2025-05-23

English Wikipedia, mainspace.

Last updated: 2025-05-23

★★☆☆☆

Manifold Markets

Forecasters: 96

Volume: M12k

Embed #

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