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Will marijuana cease to be classified as a Schedule 1 drug under the U.S. Controlled Substances Act by January 1, 2030?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
85%
Likely
Yes

Question description #

Betting YES means marijuana is not a Schedule 1 drug at some time before the given date. The question resolves positively if marijuana is still a controlled substance, but not Schedule 1. If marijuana is de-classified and then re-classified, the question would resolve positively. State-level reclassifications/decriminalization/legalization don't count.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters79
VolumeM3.6k

Capture #

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Will marijuana cease to be classified as a Schedule 1 drug under the U.S. Controlled Substances Act by January 1, 2030?
85%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-06-12

Betting YES means marijuana is not a Schedule 1 drug at some time before the given date. The question resolves positively if marijuana is still a controlled substance, but not Schedule 1. If marijuana is de-classified and then re-classified, the...

Last updated: 2025-06-12
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 79
Volume: M3.6k

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