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Will the first self-sustaining base on Mars begin being established within 20 years as Elon Musk says?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
17%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

resolve YES if a starship that attempts to land on mars or orbit mars launches by the end of 2044 with the parts and/or people necessary to establish a permanent city or base

@/strutheo/will-the-first-uncrewed-starship-to@/strutheo/will-the-first-crewed-starship-to-m

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Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters11
VolumeM498

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will the first self-sustaining base on Mars begin being established within 20 years as Elon Musk says?
17%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-03-18

resolve YES if a starship that attempts to land on mars or orbit mars launches by the end of 2044 with the parts and/or people necessary to establish a permanent city or...

Last updated: 2025-03-18
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 11
Volume: M498

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