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Will a fully autonomous, Level 5 self driving car be available for purchase in the US by the year 2040?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
80%
Likely
Yes

Question description #

Will you be able to buy a fully autonomous, Level 5 self-driving car in the US by 2040? While the development of self-driving cars is moving quickly, there are still many challenges to overcome before they become widely available.

[image]This question will resolve positively if a Level 5 autonomous car is available for purchase in the US by December 31, 2040. Level 5 refers to "steering wheel optional" autonomy, where the vehicle can perform all required functions with zero intervention.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters51
VolumeM7.6k

Capture #

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Will a fully autonomous, Level 5 self driving car be available for purchase in the US by the year 2040?
80%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-06-04

Will you be able to buy a fully autonomous, Level 5 self-driving car in the US by 2040? While the development of self-driving cars is moving quickly, there are still many challenges to overcome before they become widely available.

[image]This...

Last updated: 2025-06-04
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 51
Volume: M7.6k

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