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Will total US military expenditure top its all-time high by 2024?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
3%
Exceptionally unlikely
Yes

Question description #

https://ourworldindata.org/military-spending

2010 was the year with the highest total US military spending so far. This market resolves to yes if Our World in Data (or a suitable replacement if it stops being a reliable source) shows the military spending of 2022, 2023, or 2024 to be above the 2010 total, adjusted for inflation. If they're all lower (or the US is no longer a country at that point), this resolves to no. If that data becomes completely unavailable, this resolves to N/A.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters21
VolumeM5.6k

Capture #

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Will total US military expenditure top its all-time high by 2024?
3%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-13

https://ourworldindata.org/military-spending

2010 was the year with the highest total US military spending so far. This market resolves to yes if Our World in Data (or a suitable replacement if it stops being a reliable source) shows the military...

Last updated: 2025-05-13
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 21
Volume: M5.6k

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<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-4oYf7Zyx7BViHgwshUzg" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

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