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Will the US undergo a major political crisis before 2027

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
55%
About Even
Yes

Question description #

This includes

Any dramatic change to the governing apparatus at the federal level: extending presidential terms, prosecution of political enemies in some dramatic form, changing how elections are held, a dramatic change in state power

A crisis between different branches of the government: I.e the courts rule that a certain candidate won a major election, the house disagrees and tries to fight it leading to a crisis. Or a certain body declares another one illegitimate

Any sort of major change is civil liberties, any major act of insurrection (that is successful), a successful independence resolution by a state…etc

Basically anything that profoundly changes how the US operates and has wide reaching impacts in people’s lives, will be highly polarizing

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters14
VolumeM554

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will the US undergo a major political crisis before 2027
55%
About Even
Last updated: 2025-06-10

This includes

Any dramatic change to the governing apparatus at the federal level: extending presidential terms, prosecution of political enemies in some dramatic form, changing how elections are held, a dramatic change in state power

A crisis...

Last updated: 2025-06-10
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 14
Volume: M554

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