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US buys Greenland by 2026?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
4%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Resolution Criteria:

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States officially completes the purchase or annexation of Greenland by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PST.

Conditions for Resolution:

• The resolution will be based on an official announcement from the U.S. government or the government of Denmark/Greenland confirming the transfer of sovereignty or sale of Greenland to the United States.

• The agreement must include explicit language of transfer, sale, or annexation of territory.

Exclusions:

• Military agreements, economic partnerships, or temporary leasing arrangements will not qualify.

• Partial purchases or acquisition of limited land for military bases will not count.

Primary Sources:

• Official government announcements from the U.S., Denmark, or Greenland.

• Credible reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Reuters, AP, BBC).

If no such announcement occurs by the end of the timeframe, the market will resolve to “No.”

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters91
VolumeM32k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
US buys Greenland by 2026?
4%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-09

Resolution Criteria:

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States officially completes the purchase or annexation of Greenland by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PST.

Conditions for Resolution:

• The resolution will be based on an...

Last updated: 2025-06-09
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 91
Volume: M32k

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