Original post: "major" protests defined as over 1 million people in one city OR over 10 million people in various cities/locations within the U.S., in the same day. Needs to be at least one reliable estimate reaching that threshold to validate (if there are conflicting reports, will resolve if one independent news source, police force, agency, etc cites numbers that qualify). Any protests related to Trump, his administration (including Musk or similar) or his policies would count (e.g. a Women's rights march or a march to stand up for the poor inspired by cuts to funding would count). A protest in response to a general SCOTUS decision would not count (e.g. overturning Roe), unless the SCOTUS decision was about Trump or a Trump policy (e.g. allowing Trump to run for a third term or upholding a controversial Trump policy that he would then get to enact). Poll will close when such a protest happens or a new president is in office.

UPDATE 4/5/25 - I'm not sure how many are digging into the resolution criteria, but this is intended to get at massive, historic level protests, so I am revising the title to be more clear. I am not changing the resolution criteria, as a number of people have already bet. I am just trying to make the question more clear for those who don't pour over the criteria. It would not have been a very interesting question as to whether there would be protests in his second term, as that seems quite obvious. What this has been getting at if we would see massive, historic level protests. For comparison, the following are protests/demonstrations that likely met the criteria (I didnt dig into source reliability for these estimates, but these have some cited estimates listed that meet it): March for Our Lives 2018, March for Women's Lives 2004, March for Lesbian, Gay and Biequal Rights 1993, Anti Nuclear March 1982, Earth Day 1970. Also for reference, it would be about twice the numbers that showed up in D.C. and those that protested nationally for the Women's March in 2017 .