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Will "80,000 hours should remove OpenAI from the Jo..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
7%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description #

As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.

This market will resolve to 100% if the post 80,000 hours should remove OpenAI from the Job Board (and similar EA orgs should do similarly) is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters8
VolumeM1.5k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will "80,000 hours should remove OpenAI from the Jo..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
7%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2025-03-18

As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.

This market will...

Last updated: 2025-03-18
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 8
Volume: M1.5k

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-5bpzs5wmc5" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

Preview