Must not dip below 65% at any point during a week straight to resolve YES. If this has not happened at the end of 2025, resolves NO
The market in question:
(https://manifold.markets/embed/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener) (I'll bet on this market and that one)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 52 |
| Volume | M38k |
Must not dip below 65% at any point during a week straight to resolve YES. If this has not happened at the end of 2025, resolves NO
The market in question:
(https://manifold.markets/embed/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener) (I'll...