To qualify, the crisis should be listed here:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Constitutional_crisis
If Wikipedia becomes unreliable, defunct, or does not list a crisis but there's a broad consensus that there has been one, then I'm open to resolving according to a different source.
Update 2025-02-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Broad Consensus Clarification
If Wikipedia lists a constitutional crisis but there is a broad consensus that it has not occurred, the resolution may be based on a different, less biased source.
A broad consensus requires more than strong disagreement (for example, stark differences between left and right perspectives); in such a case, Wikipedia remains the guiding source.
Ongoing events mentioned on Wikipedia do not yet qualify as a full-fledged constitutional crisis.
Update 2025-04-26 (PST): - Factual descriptions required: The Wikipedia entry must directly state that the event is a constitutional crisis. Phrases like "some have argued" do not qualify as a listing for resolution purposes. (AI summary of creator comment)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 147 |
| Volume | M45k |
To qualify, the crisis should be listed here:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Constitutional_crisis
If Wikipedia becomes unreliable, defunct, or does not list a crisis but there's a broad consensus that there has been one, then I'm open to...