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Scott Alexander's "In 2028, AI movie" market will be resolved in Q1 2028

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
80%
Likely
Yes

Question description #

https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener

[link preview]If above market resolves between January 1st and March 31th of 2028, this market resolves YES, otherwise in resolves NO.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters15
VolumeM407

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Scott Alexander's "In 2028, AI movie" market will be resolved in Q1 2028
80%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-05-25

https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener

[link preview]If above market resolves between January 1st and March 31th of 2028, this market resolves YES, otherwise in resolves NO.

Last updated: 2025-05-25
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 15
Volume: M407

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-5zn7DwenJDC5ef5LQCSA" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

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