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Will Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
3%
Exceptionally unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Luigi Mangione is charged in Federal Court on charges of Murder, Stalking, and Use of a Silencer. Will President Trump grant him a Presidential Pardon (either pre-emptive, partial, or full) before the end of his (theoretical) 4-year presidential term? (note: this market is exclusive of state charges [currently PA + NY], over which the federal government has little or no control) MAKE YOUR VOICE HEARD! BET YOUR CONSCIENCE!!

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters43
VolumeM61k

Capture #

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Will Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029?
3%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-13

Luigi Mangione is charged in Federal Court on charges of Murder, Stalking, and Use of a Silencer. Will President Trump grant him a Presidential Pardon (either pre-emptive, partial, or full) before the end of his (theoretical) 4-year presidential term...

Last updated: 2025-05-13
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 43
Volume: M61k

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