We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
This market resolves based on official determinations from LAFD or law enforcement regarding the cause of recent major fires in Los Angeles County.
References:
https://www.foxla.com/news/wildlife-preserve-fires-investigated-potential-arson-8-fires-reported-month
https://lafd.org/homeland-security-arson
Update 2025-04-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator intends to resolve this market NO within 24 hours (from the time of their comment), unless objections or links to news sources / official statements demonstrating an official arson determination are provided within that timeframe.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 16 |
| Volume | M571 |
This market resolves based on official determinations from LAFD or law enforcement regarding the cause of recent major fires in Los Angeles County.
References:
https://www.foxla..