MetaforecastStatus
SearchToolsAbout

‌

‌
‌
‌
‌
‌
‌

Will Israel execute someone by 2030?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
9%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description #

They have executed 2 people so far: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_punishment_in_Israel#Executed_people and only have capital punishment for things like genocide. It's quite possible they could capture, try, and execute Sinwar or someone like that for genocide.

Resolves positive if there is an execution on or before 1 January 2030.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters15
VolumeM1.5k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Israel execute someone by 2030?
9%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2025-03-24

They have executed 2 people so far: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_punishment_in_Israel#Executed_people and only have capital punishment for things like genocide. It's quite possible they could capture, try, and execute Sinwar or someone like...

Last updated: 2025-03-24
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 15
Volume: M1.5k

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-71nYOPCyFWdsMN9kY9qm" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

Preview