Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if:
Official law enforcement investigations, court proceedings, or credible confessions reveal that the killer was hired, contracted, or otherwise compensated by another individual or organization to carry out the murder.
This market will resolve NO if:
The killer is found and determined to have acted independently
This market will resolve N/A if:
The case remains unsolved by January 1, 2026
Resolving unsolved as N/A largely to avoid another question that is more or less asking whether the killer will be caught.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 22 |
| Volume | M12k |
Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if:
Official law enforcement investigations, court proceedings, or credible confessions reveal that the killer was hired, contracted, or otherwise compensated by another individual or organization to...