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Will high skill immigration to the USA become more restricted under President Trump?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
48%
About Even
Yes

Question description #

Inspired by this tweet

[image]If I perceive that Trump's regime is more restrictive to high skilled immigration, in particular for tech industry workers I'll resolve this to yes.

I will ask Jonathan Gray to give his opinion in a years time, and will take it into consideration when resolving. I'll also look at other sources, hopefully including numbers of immigrants entering the USA under these schemes, if I can get my hands on them!

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters16
VolumeM449

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will high skill immigration to the USA become more restricted under President Trump?
48%
About Even
Last updated: 2025-04-28

Inspired by this tweet

[image]If I perceive that Trump's regime is more restrictive to high skilled immigration, in particular for tech industry workers I'll resolve this to yes.

I will ask Jonathan Gray to give his opinion in a years time, and...

Last updated: 2025-04-28
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 16
Volume: M449

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-8Z6S2RQA28" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

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