MetaforecastStatus
SearchToolsAbout

‌

‌
‌
‌
‌
‌
‌

Will a significant number of Palestinians from Gaza be permanently resettled in Egypt and/or Jordan under Trump's term?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
14%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

*Alice Cuddy & Jon Donnison

Role,BBC News, Jerusalem

26 January 2025

US President Donald Trump has said he wants Egypt and Jordan to take in Palestinians from Gaza.

Trump said he had made the request to Jordan's King Abdullah and planned to ask Egypt's president on Sunday, too.

Describing Gaza as a "demolition site", Trump said: "You're talking about probably a million and a half people, and we just clean out that whole thing". He added that the move "could be temporary" or "could be long-term".*

Clarification: for the purpose of this market "Significant number" is defined as at least 1,000,000 people.

Factors to Consider: Political resistance from Jordan and Egypt, willingness of Gazans to leave, international pressure, and potential Israeli policies.

[image]Update 2025-01-30 (PST): - Resettlement refers to mass forced resettlement. (AI summary of creator comment)

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters27
VolumeM2.9k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will a significant number of Palestinians from Gaza be permanently resettled in Egypt and/or Jordan under Trump's term?
14%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-04-11

*Alice Cuddy & Jon Donnison

Role,BBC News, Jerusalem

26 January 2025

US President Donald Trump has said he wants Egypt and Jordan to take in Palestinians from Gaza.

Trump said he had made the request to Jordan's King Abdullah and planned to ask...

Last updated: 2025-04-11
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 27
Volume: M2.9k

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-8dU2tSQq0L" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

Preview