日本の公職選挙法および政党助成法に基づき、チームみらいが2025年8月31日までに政党要件（直近の国政選挙で得票率2%以上）を満たすかどうかを予測する市場です。

判定は、参議院の結果を参照します。

https://team-mir.ai

情報源：時事通信社

Update 2025-05-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified which House of Councillors election will be used for judgement, as mentioned in the market description ("判定は、参議院の結果を参照します。"). The market will specifically refer to the results of the 27th House of Councillors regular election, which is scheduled for July 28, 2025. It is in this election that チームみらい (Team Mirai) must achieve a 2% or more vote share to meet the market's criteria by the August 31, 2025 deadline.