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Will the UK rejoin the European Union by 2040?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
26%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

The United Kingdom left the European Union on January 31st, 2020, after a period of negotiation and uncertainty. Since then, both parties have continued to negotiate and establish new trade agreements. However, some in the UK remain deeply divided over the decision to leave, and there is ongoing debate about the benefits and drawbacks of rejoining the EU.

This question will resolve positively if by December 31st, 2040, the United Kingdom is a full member of the European Union. If the UK is not a full member of the EU by that date, I

[image]will resolve negatively.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters16
VolumeM392

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will the UK rejoin the European Union by 2040?
26%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-04-03

The United Kingdom left the European Union on January 31st, 2020, after a period of negotiation and uncertainty. Since then, both parties have continued to negotiate and establish new trade agreements. However, some in the UK remain deeply divided...

Last updated: 2025-04-03
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 16
Volume: M392

Embed #

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