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Will a tech giant build a dedicated nuclear power plant for AI operations before 2040?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
76%
Likely
Yes

Question description #

Given energy hungry AI and regulations over nuclear power, will a tech giant (market cap >= $100B) succeed in building a private nuclear power plant (100+ MW) for its own consumption or a commercial power plant to provide energy just for AI needs?

https://www.reuters.com/technology/artificial-intelligence/us-nuclear-plants-wont-power-up-big-techs-ai-ambitions-right-away-2024-09-24/

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/25/sam-altman-backed-nuclear-startup-oklo-to-start-site-work-for-idaho-microreactor.html

The nuclear power plant must be a newly constructed reactor with major part of the infrastructure investment coming from the tech giant. Renewal of existing facilities like the TMI plant in PA don’t count.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters10
VolumeM1.1k

Capture #

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Will a tech giant build a dedicated nuclear power plant for AI operations before 2040?
76%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-04-22

Given energy hungry AI and regulations over nuclear power, will a tech giant (market cap >= $100B) succeed in building a private nuclear power plant (100+ MW) for its own consumption or a commercial power plant to provide energy just for AI needs...

Last updated: 2025-04-22
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 10
Volume: M1.1k

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