We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
Resolves positive 1 month after a credible news report of serious injury or death.
Resolves negative when the clinical trials finish.
Resolves ambiguous if trials are stopped early.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 36 |
| Volume | M5.9k |
Resolves positive 1 month after a credible news report of serious injury or death.
Resolves negative when the clinical trials finish.
Resolves ambiguous if trials are stopped early.