This market resolves YES if any major tech company (including but not limited to Google, Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Apple, or other publicly traded tech companies with market caps over $10 billion) officially reports that at least 98% of new code is being generated by AI tools before April 1st, 2026

The announcement must come through official channels such as company reports, press releases, earnings calls, or interviews with C-suite executives reported by reputable tech media outlets.

This is inspired by Dario Amodei claiming we may have virtually all code written by AI within 12 months (although prompting will still be expected(.

References:

https://www.youtube.com/live/esCSpbDPJik?start=990

Update 2025-03-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification:

Assistance-only statements do not meet the criteria: If a report only mentions that AI provides assistance without specifying that the code is actually written by AI, it should resolve as No.

Primary requirement: The announcement must indicate that AI is the agent generating the code, not just assisting or reviewing it. The source must be credible.