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Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2027?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
26%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

This question will be resolved as 'yes' if AP, Reuters, and AFP unanimously report that the People's Republic of China has launched a full-scale invasion of Taiwan. If one or more of those agencies cease to exist, the reporting from the remaining agency(ies) will be considered sufficient.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters19
VolumeM975

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2027?
26%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-03-16

This question will be resolved as 'yes' if AP, Reuters, and AFP unanimously report that the People's Republic of China has launched a full-scale invasion of Taiwan. If one or more of those agencies cease to exist, the reporting from the remaining...

Last updated: 2025-03-16
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 19
Volume: M975

Embed #

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