We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
YES: Nate Silver wins
NO: Galen Druke wins
The rules and the picks are listed here:
[image]I will not bet in this market. If some intervening events make resolving this market impossible (a dramatic change in the structure of the democratic primary, or something), I will decide between resolving to 50/50 and resolving N/A depending on the situation.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 13 |
| Volume | M445 |
YES: Nate Silver wins
NO: Galen Druke wins
The rules and the picks are listed here:
[image]I will not bet in this market. If some intervening events make resolving this market impossible (a dramatic change in the structure of the democratic...