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Will quantum computing break cybersecurity by 2030?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
17%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Quantum computing has the possibility to break encryption as we know it. The widely used encryption methods, including RSA, AES, ECC, SHA-256, and HMAC, face unprecedented challenges.

This question resolves YES if, by 2030, quantum computing successfully decrypts and exploits data secured by at least one of the mentioned encryption methods, leading to a substantial breach in the user data of a major company.

This question resolves NO if, by 2030, none of the commonly employed encryption methods are breached and exploited by quantum computing.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters27
VolumeM1.7k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will quantum computing break cybersecurity by 2030?
17%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-04-04

Quantum computing has the possibility to break encryption as we know it. The widely used encryption methods, including RSA, AES, ECC, SHA-256, and HMAC, face unprecedented challenges.

This question resolves YES if, by 2030, quantum computing...

Last updated: 2025-04-04
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 27
Volume: M1.7k

Embed #

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