Market will resolve to YES if 44.5% or higher of Americans approve of Donald Trump's performance dated May 20th, 2025 on Nate Silver's approval tracker located here at Silver Bulletin: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin
Notes:
Data will be checked within 24 hours after market close.
If the approval dips below 44.5% at some point, but rises back above by May 20th, the market will still resolve to YES.
In the event that the Silver Bulletin tracker is no longer available or updated, the RCP tracker here will be used as a substitute: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 151 |
| Volume | M74k |
Market will resolve to YES if 44.5% or higher of Americans approve of Donald Trump's performance dated May 20th, 2025 on Nate Silver's approval tracker located here at Silver Bulletin: https://www.natesilver..