MetaforecastStatus
SearchToolsAbout

‌

‌
‌
‌
‌
‌
‌

Will a massive solar storm occur before 2050?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
47%
About Even
Yes

Question description #

This question will resolves as Yes if the Disturbance Storm Time index reaches less than -850 nT (the Carrington event reached between -1600 and -1760 nT) before January 1, 2050.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters25
VolumeM802

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will a massive solar storm occur before 2050?
47%
About Even
Last updated: 2025-04-26

This question will resolves as Yes if the Disturbance Storm Time index reaches less than -850 nT (the Carrington event reached between -1600 and -1760 nT) before January 1, 2050.

Last updated: 2025-04-26
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 25
Volume: M802

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-CtWV2u3QmuSqCZ4fHn4T" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

Preview