Update 2025-04-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution criteria update:
If Nvidia receives any export licenses to China (even on a case-by-case basis), the market will resolve as No.
If Nvidia does not receive any export licenses to China, the market will resolve as Yes.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 32 |
| Volume | M10k |
Update 2025-04-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution criteria update:
If Nvidia receives any export licenses to China (even on a case-by-case basis), the market will resolve as No.
If Nvidia does not receive any export licenses to...