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Will the USA be a democracy in 2040?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
83%
Likely
Yes

Question description #

If it's rated at least a six on the democracy index by the Economist Intelligence Unit, resolves YES.

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/democracy-index-eiu?time=latest

If the Economist Intelligence Unit ceases to function I will choose another measurement after consulting with traders.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters19
VolumeM3.2k

Capture #

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Will the USA be a democracy in 2040?
83%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-06-10

If it's rated at least a six on the democracy index by the Economist Intelligence Unit, resolves YES.

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/democracy-index-eiu?time=latest

If the Economist Intelligence Unit ceases to function I will choose another...

Last updated: 2025-06-10
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 19
Volume: M3.2k

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